Sunday, April 19, 2009

Just live through it

--- Sheelagh de Vries, my mother, said to me in April 2009 when I was agonizing over planning some impending situation

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

They took these non-linear stochastic dynamic general equilibrium models into the basement and beat them with a rubber hose until they behaved

--- Willem Buiter, a former member of the UK’s Monetary Policy Committee who blogs for the FT, complaining that macroeconomists have simply discarded the difficult stuff to make their models more elegant. Quoted in an FT opinion piece by Tim Harford, "Are those who sweat the big stuff in meltdown?", April 11 2009.

Also amusing in this piece was a recollection of P.J. O’Rourke’s explanation of the difference between micro and macro: microeconomics concerns things that economists are specifically wrong about, while macroeconomics concerns things that they are wrong about generally.

And Mark Thoma of the University of Oregon, another economics blogger, is reported as saying: “I think that the current crisis has dealt a bigger blow to macroeconomic theory and modelling than many of us realise.”

Saturday, April 11, 2009

When you start making choices, you start losing friends

--- Kent Conrad, the Democratic Senate Budget Committee chairman and a leading fiscal hawk

Quoted in The Economist, Waiting for God-only-knows-what, Jan 8th 2009; about the budget deficit

In context:

"Politically, a reform that antagonises so many constituencies is hardly appetising. “When you start making choices, you start losing friends,” says Kent Conrad, the Democratic Senate Budget Committee chairman and a leading fiscal hawk. He argues the job should be handed over to a bipartisan task force. But Thomas Kahn, the top staffer on the House Budget Committee, notes that some legislators worry that such mechanisms undermine the democratic process by limiting the opportunity for amendment and debate."